现代制造工程 ›› 2025, Vol. 541 ›› Issue (10): 35-46.doi: 10.16731/j.cnki.1671-3133.2025.10.004

• 智能制造 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于数字孪生的流程生产过程质量自适应预测方法

阴艳超1, 曾晋东1, 唐军2, 梁敏3   

  1. 1 昆明理工大学机电工程学院,昆明 650500;
    2 云南中烟工业有限责任公司,昆明 650500;
    3 云南白药集团股份有限公司,昆明 650500
  • 收稿日期:2024-12-23 发布日期:2025-10-29
  • 通讯作者: 曾晋东,硕士研究生,研究方向为智能制造、数字孪生。E-mail:yinyc@163.com;1106837029@qq.com
  • 作者简介:阴艳超,博士,教授,博士研究生导师,主要研究方向为智能制造、工业大数据,已发表论文40余篇。
  • 基金资助:
    云南省重大科技项目(202302AD080001)

An adaptive prediction method for the quality of the process production process based on digital twin

YIN Yanchao1, ZENG Jindong1, TANG Jun2, LIANG Min3   

  1. 1 School of Mechanical and Electrical Engineering, Kunming University of Science and Technology, Kunming 650500, China;
    2 Yunnan China Tobacco Industry Co., Ltd., Kunming 650500, China;
    3 Yunnan Baiyao Group Co., Ltd., Kunming 650500, China
  • Received:2024-12-23 Published:2025-10-29

摘要: 流程生产具有分段式设备单元多、多工况需求变化频繁等特点,针对特定场景建立的数字孪生生产线模型缺乏工况变化的自适应能力,难以快速精准地感知产品质量变化;因此,为了提高数字孪生生产线模型的自适应性,提出了基于InceptionDCNN-LSTM神经网络与迁移学习的流程生产过程质量自适应预测方法(孪生环境下的自适应预测模型)。首先,搭建了由数字孪生五维模型与自适应预测模型组成的自适应预测总体框架;其次,根据工况变化程度提出相应的自适应迁移策略;然后,在此基础上,采用InceptionDCNN模块提取参数关联特征,借助长短期记忆神经网络挖掘质量时序特征,并引入迁移学习解决变工况下预测模型自适应问题;最后,以制丝生产线为例,搭建孪生车间平台并对孪生环境下的自适应预测模型的可行性进行验证。实验结果表明,变化工况下,自适应更新后的预测模型预测误差均低于1.7 %,稳定性优势显著,为提高变工况下数字孪生生产线模型自适应能力提供了新思路。

关键词: 流程生产, 数字孪生, 过程质量自适应预测, 混合神经网络, 迁移学习

Abstract: Process production had characteristics of segmented equipment units and frequent changes in multi-working conditions,and the digital twin production line model established for specific scenarios lacked the ability to adapt to these changes,making it difficult to quickly and accurately perceive product quality changes. To improve the adaptability of the digital twin production line model,an adaptive prediction method for process production process quality based on InceptionDCNN-LSTM neural network and transfer learning was proposed (adaptive prediction models in twin environments). Firstly,an adaptive prediction overall framework consisting of a digital twin five-dimensional model and an adaptive prediction model was built. Secondly,according to the degree of change in working conditions,the corresponding adaptive migration strategy was proposed. The InceptionDCNN module was used to extract parameter features,the long short-term memory neural network was used to mine quality time series features,and transfer learning was introduced to address adaptability of the prediction model under variable conditions. Finally,taking the tobacco production line as an example,a twin workshop platform was built,and the feasibility of the adaptive prediction model in twin environment was verified. The results show that the prediction error of the adaptive updated prediction model was less than 1.7 % under different working conditions,and the stability advantage was significant,providing a new idea for improving the adaptive ability of the digital twin production line model under different working conditions.

Key words: process production, digital twins, adaptive prediction of process quality, hybrid neural networks, transfer learning

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